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Insights – Asia Pacific Research

Hong Kong Monthly Digest – May 2024

The residential market exhibited a decline in activity, following the short-term robust buying sentiment observed in April. A total of 5,546 transactions were recorded across the primary and secondary markets in May, representing a 35% decrease from the previous month.

New home sales declined by 47% m-o-m to 1,934 units in May, but still represent the second-highest figure in 34 months, since July 2021. Meanwhile, the secondary market saw a 27% monthly decrease in the number of registered deals, dropping to 3,612 cases. This can be attributed to the fading effect of the removal of ‘spicy measures’, which has resulted in buyers returning to a more rational approach.

At the same time, Hong Kong’s private home prices lost steam again after a second consecutive month of gains. In fact, home prices dropped by 1.2% to 305.9 in May and have declined by 1.7% year-to-date.

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Hong Kong Monthly Digest – April 2024

Following the removal of all property cooling measures, the residential market saw a sharp rebound in April, with a total of 8,551 transactions recorded across the primary and secondary markets. This represents a 115% surge from the previous month and marks the highest number of transactions since October 2012, a 11.5-year high.

Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s private home prices have risen for the second consecutive month, reaching the highest level since December last year. In April, prices increased by 0.3% to 308.7, representing a slower rate of growth than in March, when prices rose by 1.8%.

In fact, the residential property price has declined by 0.83% year-to-date……

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Hong Kong Quarterly Digest – Q1 2024

Turning to the first quarter of 2024, the market displayed signs of improvement. There was a noteworthy increase in activity, particularly in primary market. A total of 2,869 cases of new home sales were recorded, reflecting a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 54%. The secondary market recorded 6,954 transactions, indicating a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21%.

In the late February 2024 Fiscal Budget, the government made a significant announcement regarding the removal of all property cooling measures implemented since 2010, in order to revive the flailing housing market. Furthermore, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority relaxed the loan rules for homebuyers, i.e. the suspension of stress tests. These policy adjustments have resulted in the creation of the most favorable market conditions witnessed in the past 14 years.

Despite the notable improvement in market sentiment during the period, Hong Kong residential market continued to face downward pressure on home prices and rental indices. The removal of property cooling measures did contribute to a slight rebound in sales activity, but the overall trend remained negative. The overall home price index further declined……

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Hong Kong Monthly Digest – February 2024

In February, only 2,375 transactions were registered for both primary and secondary markets, representing a 32% monthly decrease and reaching to a 4-month low. The market was dampened by the Lunar New Year – a traditional off-season and the wait-and-see attitude towards the 2024-25 Budget speech.

Of these, only 367 cases were specifically for the first-hand residential market in February, indicating a 63% decrease from a month earlier. The significant decline in transactions was due to developers postponing the sale of new projects.

Hong Kong’s private home prices fell for the 10th month in a row last month to the lowest level in nearly seven-and-a-half years since September 2016…..

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