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Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – November 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 5,409 residential transactions were seen in November, rose by 16.5% month-on-month. A total of HKD 51.3 billion were recorded, increased by 3.2% month-on-month. Primary transactions rose by 44.0% month-on-month to 1,868 cases; secondary transactions increased by 5.8% to 3,541 cases. For November, all the four indexes recorded a negative 0.1% month-on-month change to a positive 0.5% month-on-month growth.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 133.9 +0.5 +9.2 +9.5
Kowloon East Index 129.4 -0.1 +4.0 +4.2
Shatin-Central Link Index 127.0 +0.4 +3.4 +3.7
Mass Residential Index 131.0 +0.2 +5.4 +5.7

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – October 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 4,643 residential transactions were seen in October, down by 20.6% month-on-month. A total of HKD 49.7 billion were recorded, dropped by 11.4% month-on-month. Primary transactions fell by 32.7% month-on-month to 1,297 cases; secondary transactions fell by 14.6% to 3,346 cases. For October, all the four indexes recorded a negative 0.1% month-on-month change to a positive 1.2% month-on-month growth.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 133.2 +1.2% +8.9% +9.0%
Kowloon East Index 129.5 +0.2% +3.3% +4.3%
Shatin-Central Link Index 126.6 -0.1% +2.1% +3.3%
Mass Residential Index 130.7 +0.4% +4.9% +5.4%

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – September 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 5,844 residential transactions were seen in September, rose by 5.4% month-on-month. A total of HKD 56.1 billion were recorded, increased by 2.9% month-on-month. Primary transactions rebounded by 172% month-on-month to 1,926 cases; secondary transactions fell by 19% to 3,918 cases. For September, all the four indexes rose further across the board by 0.4-1.8% month-on-month.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 131.6 +1.8% +8.9% +7.7%
Kowloon East Index 129.3 +0.4% +3.4% +4.1%
Shatin-Central Link Index 126.7 +0.4% +2.3% +3.4%
Mass Residential Index 130.3 +0.8% +4.9% +5.1%

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – August 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 7,579 residential transactions were seen in July, decreased by 0.2% month-on-month. A total of HKD 78.6 billion were recorded, dropped by 2.8% month-on-month. Primary transactions rose 5% month-on-month to 2,052 cases; secondary transactions fell by 2% to 5,527 cases. For July, all the four indexes rose across the board by 0.4-1.1% month-on-month.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 129.2 +1.8% +7.7% +5.8%
Kowloon East Index 128.8 +0.7% +2.9% +3.7%
Shatin-Central Link Index 126.2 +0.7% +1.7% +3.0%
Mass Residential Index 129.2 +1.0% +4.4% +4.2%

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – July 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 7,579 residential transactions were seen in July, decreased by 0.2% month-on-month. A total of HKD 78.6 billion were recorded, dropped by 2.8% month-on-month. Primary transactions rose 5% month-on-month to 2,052 cases; secondary transactions fell by 2% to 5,527 cases. For July, all the four indexes rose across the board by 0.4-1.1% month-on-month.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 126.9 +0.5% +6.5% +3.9%
Kowloon East Index 127.8 +0.6% +2.1% +3.0%
Shatin-Central Link Index 125.4 +0.4% +0.7% +2.3%
Mass Residential Index 128.0 +1.1% +3.9% +3.2%

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – June 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 7,591 residential transactions were seen in June, rose by 7.2% month-on-month. A total of HKD 80.87 billion were recorded, increased by 5.3% month-on-month. Primary transactions rose 24.3% month-on-month to 1,954 cases; secondary transactions increased by 2.3% to 5,637 cases. For June, all the four indexes rose across the board by 0.8-1.3% month-on-month.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 126.3 +1.0% +6.4% +3.4%
Kowloon East Index 127.1 +1.3% +1.8% +2.4%
Shatin-Central Link Index 124.9 +0.8% +0.4% +1.8%
Mass Residential Index 126.6 +0.9% +3.1% +2.1%

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – May 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 7,084 residential transactions were seen in May, dropped by 3.3% month-on-month. A total of HKD 76.83 billion were recorded, increased by 7.4% month-on-month. Primary transactions rose 47.3% month-on-month to 1,572 cases; secondary transactions fell by 11.9% to 5,572 cases. For May, all the four indexes rose across the board by 0.4-0.7% month-on-month.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 124.9 +0.7% +6.7% +2.4%
Kowloon East Index 125.4 +0.7% +0.0% +1.0%
Shatin-Central Link Index 124.0 +0.4% -0.7% +1.0%
Mass Residential Index 125.5 +0.7% +2.7% +1.2%

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – April 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 7,325 residential transactions were seen in April, dropped by 1.6% month-on-month. A total of HKD 71.55 billion were recorded, increased by 3.2% month-on-month. Primary transactions fell by 31.3% month-on-month to 1,067 cases; secondary transactions improved 6.2% to 6,258 cases. For April, all the four indexes rose across the board by 0.2-0.8% month-on-month.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY YTD
(%) (%) (%)
Luxury Index 124.0 +0.8% +5.7% +1.7%
Kowloon East Index 124.5 +0.2% -0.7% -3.4%
Shatin-Central Link Index 123.5 +0.4% -0.9% -3.2%
Mass Residential Index 124.6 +0.5% +2.1% +0.3%

LUXURY INDEX

KOWLOON EAST INDEX

SHATIN-CENTRAL LINK INDEX

MASS RESIDENTIAL INDEX

Vigers Hong Kong Property Index Series – March 2021

According to the Land Registry, a total of 7,444 residential transactions were seen in March, increased by 21.5% month-on-month. A total of HKD 69.3 billion were recorded, increased by 21.8% month-on-month. Primary transactions remained the same at 1,553 cases; secondary transactions improved 28.8% to 5,891 cases. For March, all the four indexes rose across the board by 0.1-0.7% month-on-month.

Index Series Latest value MoM YoY Ytd
(%) (%) %
Luxury Index 123.1 +0.7 +2.1 +0.9
Kowloon East Index 124.4 +0.2 -1.0 -3.6
Shatin-Central Link Index 123.1 +0.1 -1.6 -3.6
Mass Residential Index 124.0 +0.3 +1.7 -0.2

内房整体楼价年内升幅在5%之内

随着环球新冠肺炎疫苗接种计划进行得如火如荼之际, 内地楼市持续回暖及需要推出强化版楼市调控措施, 相信大家对其后市展望会有相当的兴趣。在经济方面, 预期内地第二季经济将逐月恢复, 但按年增速则保持疲软。目前市场普遍预计今年仍有降准、MLF降息机会, 而信贷增长将录得反弹。值得一提的是, 中央政府于3月初招开两会后, 已定下今年国内生产总值增长目标在6%以上。事实上, 要达到此经济增长目标并不困难, 这是由于去年低基数所影响。数据显示, 内地今年首季的GDP已按年反弹21.18%至249,310亿元人民币。

此外, 「十四五」内地常住人口城镇化率年均增长预期约在0.8个百分点左右, 在提升每年进城人数后, 有助刺激进城人口的居住需求, 进一步促进房地产发展的规模。与此同时, 政府工作报告亦预期今年赤字率约为3.2%, 新增支出会较多放在基础投资之上, 进一步稳定经济前景。至于物价水平方面, 「十四五」期间, 物价将保持总体平稳, 当中2021年居民消费价格涨幅目标在3%左右。随着疫情持续受控, 预期内地积极的财政政策开始调整结构, 使其变成可持续性的政策。

数据显示, 内地3月70个大中城市新建住宅价格指数, 按月升幅扩大至0.5%, 创7个月新高; 按年升4.6%, 连升66个月, 相信是疫情压抑的消费力逐月释放。一线城市供不应求的状况仍然特别严重。市况畅旺, 首季各地政府已积极推出调控措施, 其中包括限制内银的房贷占比。同时, 深圳及上海已紧急实施调控措施。为达到稳房价稳预期的目的, 预期短中期内, 楼市调控措施只有增加而较少机会解除。要留意的是, 正当内地各房企积极消化「三条釭线」的新规, 最近房企更要顾及中央「集中供地」的买地新规例。这或多或少会影响当前的土拍价格和土拍气氛, 甚至乎日后的房价。受楼市调控所影响, 预计今年整体楼价按年升幅在5%之内。

文章刊于 : https://www.squarefoot.com.hk/%E6%A8%93%E5%B8%82%E6%96%B0%E8%81%9E/%E5%B0%88%E5%AE%B6%E5%88%86%E6%9E%90%E5%A8%81%E6%A0%BC%E6%96%AF%E5%85%A7%E6%88%BF%E6%95%B4%E9%AB%94%E6%A8%93%E5%83%B9%E5%B9%B4%E5%85%A7%E5%8D%87%E5%B9%85%E5%9C%A8%E4%B9%8B%E5%85%A7-105468/

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